Advertisement
X

How Much Should You Allocate To Debt? What A 20-Year Portfolio Comparison Reveals

How much debt should you hold in your portfolio to manage risk without giving up long-term returns? A 20-year comparison of equity, debt and gold portfolios reveals how different allocations affect returns and maximum losses

A balanced mix of equity, debt and gold can influence long-term portfolio returns and downside risk. (AI-generated) Photo: Gemini
Summary
  • All-debt portfolio returned 7.5 per cent annually with a 4.4 per cent drawdown

  • A 50:50 equity-debt mix delivered 10.2 per cent annualised returns

  • Adding gold helped portfolios earn higher returns with lower maximum drawdowns

Advertisement

For much of 2026, Indian equities tested investors' patience. The Nifty 50 remained under pressure amid sustained foreign investor selling and global uncertainty. But the mood changed sharply in November. The index gained over 9 per cent between October 31 and November 13, as foreign investors returned aggressively, pumping Rs 84,291 crore into Indian equities so far this month, according to National Securities Depository (NSDL) data.

The sudden turnaround had several triggers. Foreign investors began shifting money away from technology-heavy markets as concerns over the global AI trade grew. Lower crude oil prices eased some of the pressure on India's import bill, while better-than-expected September-quarter earnings gave investors more confidence in corporate India.

The recent rally is a reminder of how quickly market sentiment can change. Investors who remained invested through the downturn have benefited from the recovery, but the volatility also shows why relying entirely on equities can be difficult, particularly for those with a shorter investment horizon.

Advertisement

This makes asset allocation an important decision for investors. How much should they keep in equities to benefit from market growth, and how much should they set aside in debt to protect their portfolios when markets fall? Gold can further diversify the portfolio. How much an investor allocates to each asset can affect both long-term returns and the extent of losses during market corrections.

A November 2026 report by FundsIndia Research, Wealth Conversations, examines how different asset allocations perform over a 20-year period. The study covers January 3, 2000, to October 31, 2026. The findings suggest that investing more in equities does not necessarily translate into better long-term returns. Portfolios that combined equities with debt and gold delivered higher returns than some equity-heavy portfolios, and those also experienced smaller declines during market downturns.

How Different Debt-Equity Allocations Performed Over 20 Years

A portfolio invested entirely in debt delivered an annualised return of 7.5 per cent over the period, with a maximum drawdown of 4.4 per cent. The portfolio invested entirely in equity returned 10.8 per cent annually, but its maximum drawdown was much higher at 59.5 per cent.

Advertisement

The three debt-equity combinations in the report show how returns changed as investors increased their debt allocation.

A portfolio with 70 per cent equity and 30 per cent debt delivered an annualised return of 10.7 per cent. Its maximum drawdown stood at 40.3 per cent. Increasing the debt allocation to 50 per cent, with the remaining 50 per cent in equity, reduced the annualised return to 10.2 per cent and the maximum drawdown to 27.4 per cent.

A more conservative portfolio with 30 per cent equity and 70 per cent debt delivered an annualised return of 9.2 per cent. Its maximum drawdown was 14.4 per cent.

The comparison shows that increasing debt allocation reduced the portfolio's maximum drawdown, but also lowered its long-term return. The 70:30 equity-debt portfolio earned 1.5 percentage points more annually than the 30:70 portfolio, but experienced a much deeper maximum fall.

Does Adding Gold Change The Outcome

The report also compares portfolios that combine equity, debt and gold. These allocations delivered higher annualised returns than the debt-equity combinations in the study, while keeping maximum drawdowns below that of an all-equity portfolio.

Advertisement

A portfolio with 70 per cent equity, 15 per cent debt and 15 per cent gold delivered an annualised return of 12.1 per cent. Its maximum drawdown was 39.9 per cent.

A portfolio split equally between equity and gold, with 25 per cent in each and the remaining 50 per cent in debt, returned 12.2 per cent annually. Its maximum drawdown was 27.4 per cent.

The portfolio with 30 per cent equity, 35 per cent debt and 35 per cent gold also delivered an annualised return of 12.2 per cent. Its maximum drawdown was 16.6 per cent.

Investors do not necessarily have to choose between a high equity allocation and a portfolio dominated by debt. The report's findings show that adding more gold while reducing equity exposure can also deliver competitive returns. Its 30:35:35 portfolio, with 30 per cent in equity, 35 per cent in debt and 35 per cent in gold, earned the same annualised return as the 50:25:25 portfolio, but experienced a smaller maximum drawdown.

Advertisement

Gold also outperformed debt as a standalone asset in the comparison. It delivered an annualised return of 14 per cent over 20 years, against 7.5 per cent for debt. However, gold's maximum drawdown was 29.2 per cent, compared with 4.4 per cent for debt.

What The Findings Mean For Investors

The report does not suggest a single debt allocation that will work for every investor. The choice depends on the returns investors are targeting and how much of a fall in their portfolio they can tolerate.

Those comfortable with sharper short-term losses may be willing to keep a larger share of their money in equities for higher long-term growth. Investors who place greater importance on limiting losses may prefer a higher allocation to debt, even if that means accepting relatively lower returns.

The difference is evident in the report's 50:50 and 30:70 equity-debt portfolios. The 50:50 portfolio delivered an annualised return of 10.2 per cent over 20 years, with a maximum drawdown of 27.4 per cent. Increasing the debt allocation to 70 per cent brought the maximum drawdown down to 14.4 per cent. However, the annualised return also fell to 9.2 per cent.

Advertisement

Investors should also consider their financial goals and when they will need the money. Someone saving for retirement 20 or 30 years away may be able to invest more in equities and stay invested through market falls. But someone saving for a goal due in the next few years may need a larger share of debt to avoid selling equities at a loss during a market downturn. They should also consider how easily they may need to access their money and how much loss they can afford to bear.

There are some limitations to the comparison. FundsIndia Research used the average returns of Aditya Birla Sun Life Low Duration Fund, HDFC Low Duration Fund and Aditya Birla Sun Life Corporate Bond Fund as a proxy for debt. The portfolios were rebalanced annually whenever an asset's allocation moved more than five percentage points away from its target.

Show comments
Published At: