US Macroeconomic Data
On January 23, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) released the US GDP for the third quarter of the fiscal. The US GDP increased at 4.4 per cent, this was a notable growth compared to the second quarter in which the US economy grew at 3.8 per cent. On the other hand the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index stood at 2.8 per cent in November on a YoY basis, up from 2.7 per cent in October. While the strong GDP growth indicates an overall healthy environment for India’s export focused businesses, the PCE complicates the timeline for interest rate cuts. IT services and other sectors like pharma and textiles stand to benefit as US demand on account of the increasing GDP. However, the PCE price index increasing to 2.8 per cent YoY is a "hawkish" signal, leading to the US Fed keeping rates higher for longer, leading to US bonds becoming more lucrative on account of higher yields.