As of December 23, 2024, the Indian Rupee has fallen to around 85.08 per dollar. This depreciation carries significant implications for all aspects of personal finance-from importing goods to studying abroad costs and general inflation.
The Rupee depreciation hurts the consumer, the student, and the investor. Here's how the latest depreciation is affecting your wallet and future financial planning
As of December 23, 2024, the Indian Rupee has fallen to around 85.08 per dollar. This depreciation carries significant implications for all aspects of personal finance-from importing goods to studying abroad costs and general inflation.
The Rupee being weak makes imports expensive. Products that contain foreign constituents or whose price tags are in terms of international currencies have gone through the roof of price escalations. Even high-end goods such as those from global leaders like smartphones of Apple or laptops of Samsung have an inflated cost now. Similarly, imported vehicles, particularly premium and luxury models, have become costly as well. As import costs increase, the prices are passed on to the consumer, and such goods tend to be less affordable to consumers and might reduce demand in the market.
In addition, the Rupee depreciation has had a direct blow on fuel prices. India takes most of its crude oil from abroad, and the depreciating value of the Rupee raises crude oil prices in local money terms. Higher fuel prices push transportation costs higher, and therefore goods and services relying on transportation sell at a higher price level.
A depreciating Rupee is a double whammy for students looking to study abroad. With an increase in the depreciation of Rupees against the Dollar, there is a resultant hike in the cost of overseas education, especially in terms of tuition fees, accommodations, and living expenses. Sometimes, these costs are paid through foreign currencies, and it is only when the Rupees depreciate that the amounts to be paid would necessarily be more in Indian currency.
For example, if the Rupee drops from 75 to 85 against the US Dollar, then the already higher cost of education becomes even steeper. It might be the case that the student will require a more massive education loan or perhaps more savings to pay for all his expenses. In extreme cases, students might defer their plan to study outside India or delay their plans expecting stabilisation of the currency.
The Rupee's deprecation does raise the cost of imported goods and services, thus raising the prices of items that have been imported, such as edible oils, pulses, and other food products. The rising raw materials costs are going to affect every single sector of the economy with higher food prices and added household expenses.
The general increase in food and basic needs prices, therefore further reduces the purchasing power of the average consumer. Household budgets may feel the squeeze, especially for low- and middle-income families, which may have to adjust spending patterns. The discretionary outlays on luxuries like luxury goods, travel, and entertainment are likely to decrease as families give priority to basic needs.
A depreciating Rupee can sharply raise the cost of borrowing for individuals and businesses holding foreign currency-denominated debt. For instance, if you have a loan or credit card balance in the US dollars, the falling Rupee would translate into higher repayments in Indian Rupees.
It will also mean higher costs of financing their debt to the government and businesses relying on foreign borrowing or issuing bonds in foreign denominations. For example, it will increase India's fiscal deficit and corporate debt burden. As a result, interest rates are bound to rise, which again would be passed on to the consumer in the form of a higher cost of borrowing.
A falling Rupee means that investments held in the form of foreign currency will appreciate with value. Specifically, a weaker Rupee is highly positive for investors who invested in the US dollar-denominated instruments or international stocks. But on the downside, falling value could weaken Indian markets due to associated inflationary or even the slowdown effects.
Domestic investors should take note of this trend since a depreciated Rupee will cost foreign products and services dearly. Depending on the country, there might be sectors that highly depend on imports like consumer goods or technology; the investor may want to sell and reposition to invest in companies that make good gains from a weakening rupee; exporters and other businesses raking in handsome revenue through foreign sales will stand to benefit.
The devaluation of the Rupee impacts virtually everything in our lives-from import costs to educational expenses, traveling abroad, and investment returns. Of course, this weakening currency has challenges for many but it presents opportunities for those who are better prepared.