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Investing Through Uncertainty - The Uncomfortable Yet Profitable Journey

By Ajit Singh, MD & CEO, Air Warrior Money Pvt. Ltd, AMFI – Registered Mutual Fund Distributor

Investing Through Uncertainty - The Uncomfortable Yet Profitable Journey
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Investing is often described as a game of patience and discipline. Yet, when markets correct sharply, patience feels like punishment, and discipline feels like an impossible task. Investors know volatility is part of the journey, yet each downturn feels unsettling. Why?

The answer lies in how we perceive gains and losses. A 20% gain brings satisfaction, but a 20% loss feels devastating. Our minds don’t see it mathematically—we anchor our portfolio’s value to its peak. The moment it falls from that high, every subsequent decline looks gigantic.

The Market’s Reality vs. Our Expectations

Corrections aren’t new, nor are they permanent. Those who have stayed invested for five years or more have still seen meaningful returns despite multiple

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downturns. The market’s long-term trajectory remains upward, yet short-term declines dominate emotions.

Take the recent rally: When Sensex touched 75,000, profit booking could have been considered. But the market went on to 86,000 before correcting back to 75,000. Those who exited too early missed out on the gains. Timing the market is tempting, but history shows it’s nearly impossible to get it consistently right. 

Why We React Strongly to Negative News

Market corrections often coincide with negative headlines—tariffs, geopolitical issues, interest rate concerns, or corporate profitability. Interestingly, the same news sometimes barely impacts the market.

Why? When valuations are reasonable, markets absorb bad news. But when optimism is at its peak, even a small negative trigger can lead to exaggerated reactions. Recognizing this pattern helps investors manage their emotions better.

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Should We Exit at Market Highs?

Many ask, “Why not exit at market highs and re-enter at lower levels?” The challenge is that highs and lows are only visible in hindsight. Investors who try to time exits often miss the best phases of a market rally.

Rather than reacting to short-term movements, strategic rebalancing—adjusting asset allocation based on valuation, not emotions—is a far more effective approach. Yet, ironically, the best time to rebalance is when markets are at their peak, which is also when optimism is highest, making it difficult to act rationally. 

A Lesson from an Investor’s Regret

A client once moved entirely from equities to debt during a downturn, convinced the market would fall further. When it rebounded, he had a realization. His words still stay with me:

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“As an investor, I am within my rights to panic, but as a professional, you should not.”

This captures the essence of investing. Markets will test emotions, but wealth is created by those who stay invested despite discomfort.

The Market Will Recover, Will You?

Market cycles are inevitable, but history shows that recoveries always follow corrections. The real risk isn’t market volatility—it’s letting short-term fear dictate long-term decisions.Investing isn’t just about numbers. It’s about temperament. Stay focused, stay invested, and let time do its work. 

Disclaimer: Mutual Fund investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme-related documents carefully before investing. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investors are advised to consult their financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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Disclaimer: This is a sponsored article. It is not part of Outlook Money's editorial content and was not created by Outlook Money journalists.

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